@lukespeedblitz: Hey, been a lot busier than usual lately, popping in and out when I get a break and out of general boredom.
To be clear on the topic, the OP says that this is Germany at the state it was prior to Barbarossa, meaning it still suffered the losses from the invasion of continental Europe and its failed air campaign against Great Britain, meaning it's going to be in the same state it was in before July, just as how the Red Army is in sorry shape due to Stalin's paranoia, lacking troop quality, and lacking coordination/leadership/communication across all operational levels. This means more men and materiel devoted to the Eastern Front, but that doesn't mean that they'll be any better prepared for the long slog they'd have to huddle through. They'd still have to deal with a overly stretched supply chain, lack of equipment for both men and vehicles suited for colder environments, and the inability to press an attack after the Soviets manage to fall back and consolidate their forces enough to stall their advance. Conversely, the Soviets will have to deal with a larger number of German troops than before, but the negative factors affecting the Wehrmacht's performance can still mitigate their on-paper effectiveness simply because they'd have to deal with the same hardships, except on a larger scale, they can't simply magick away these issues.
It's still going to be a slog for both sides, but Germany won't be able to sustain its offensive even if it does a little more damage this time around, and it will almost certifiably get pushed back while they're deep in enemy territory with no means of sustained reinforcement.
Log in to comment