OK, I'm three years late for this one, but I just found it.
I don't think you guys are looking at this the right way. This battle doesn't even become interesting until after the Witch-king wins. And he'll do so in like five seconds, easily. No real contest. But this is only part 1.
Part 1: Yeah, we all know Darth Sidious is among the top Force-wielders of his day, and against almost anyone else you could think of, he'd win, probably easily. But not against the Witch-king. He has no real chance here. As has been stated before, the WK's feats and powers are more implied and "understood" than explicit, but we can make some reasonable assumptions and guesses as to how he'd operate and what he would do. But we do know that one of his main weapons is fear. And while the Sith also use fear, they use it differently. They may have faced down their own fears, or they may have simply channeled that fear into helping them wield the Force, or both. In this battle, the WK will use his powerful Fear weapon to freeze Sidious with his own fears (whatever those fears are really don't matter; he'll be overwhelmed with it). That's one thing we know the Nazgul are excellent at: instilling fear.
And let's say that Sidious makes an attack against the WK before that happens. It still won't really matter because whether it's a lightsaber attack or a lightning strike or whatever, neither will harm the WK, and in fact would cause severe feedback damage, like what happened to Merry and Eowyn. It's possible that WK will just channel or deflect any lightning right back to Sidious ("Oh no...not again...", says Sidious) So anyway, that's just assuming Sidious tries and successfully gets off the first strike. The WK, before or after that happens, overwhelms Sidious with fear, while at the same time using his own "force" choke, or something very similar, like what he did against I think it was Frodo on Weathertop. He raised his hand and Frodo's toungue stuck to the roof of his mouth and his mouth was shut so that he couldn't say anything. I'm blanking on the exact situation where that happened, but that's an example (not a guess) of what the the WK could do. Then WK will simply walk up to Sidious, who is frozen with fear and choking (and who just had his lightsaber exploded in his hand at the same time), and stab him in the heart with his darkly mystical Morgul blade (assuming the WK doesn't just slice his head off and be done with it). That battle is over in seconds, with the WK being the clear and easy victor. Remember, the overall context here is dark natural against dark super-natural. Powerful super-natural is very likely to easily overwhelm even powerful natural. Now on to part 2, where it could get interesting.
Part 2: Now that Sidious has been stabbed in the heart by a Morgul blade, he will become a wraith just like the Black Captain of the Nazgul himself, and will become the slave of the WK (those who knew the Nazgul, like the elven chiefs and Arargorn knew that this would happen to anyone wounded in this way by the WK). However, this is where Sidious comes back into one of his own specialties, which is deceit and betrayal. This is why it becomes interesting. So now Sidious, assuming he can think this way now that he's under the control and influence of the WK's ring and thus Sauron's ring, can begin to plan against the WK and somehow try to take his ring from him (not likely to happen regardless), or just do him in somehow, by which could possibly do himself in too. But that's really the only way I can see Sidious actually having a chance against the WK, and if he does pull it off it could be interesting to see it play out in the long run. Then there might be a new Black Captain, one who is wise in the ways of the Dark side of the Force, which probably isn't really a lot different than being a black sorcerer like the WK, except now Sidious would have access to the super-natural dark power that the WK had.
Well, that's assuming that all that goes unnoticed and allowed by the Eye, who is the true lord of the Rings.
tl;dr: Sidious gets curbstomped so badly it's not even a contest, but could use deceit and subterfuge to win a second battle in the long run.
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Also, elven blades likely won't do much against the WK except allow the wielder to take a lot of feedback damage and not be destroyed, though it's also likely that even an elven blade would be destroyed, as Gandalf (or was it Elrond?) stated about blades in general. The only blade we know that is sure to cause harm to the WK (and thus be able to penetrate his dark spells that protect him) is a blade of Westernesse, a blade forged by the Numenoreans (Aragorn's people) specifically for the purpose of harming the WK and the other Nazgul. It was that kind of blade used by Merry when he stabbed the WK in the leg, thus breaking his protective spells, thus allowing Eowyn to stab him with a normal blade. But even Merry's Numenorean blade was destroyed when it struck the WK. Didn't matter, though, at that point since it did the damage it needed to.
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