How much chance do you think Endgame has of surpassing Avatar in boxoffice ?

Inflation adjusted, it probably won't surpass Avatar or Gone with the Wind. Technically it probably won't surpass Titanic inflation adjusted but Titanic was released like three times. It did surpass Titanic's original box office. Without inflation adjusted I still don't believe Endgame will (or should) surpass Avatar. I loved the movie but I do think it could have been better.

OT: Probably 1-20 or 21-40

@boc: Well , no movie is perfect , and every movie could have been better. I don't think that's a valid argument .

Oh, of course. I wasn't using that argument to say Endgame doesn't deserve the number one spot, as Avatar also could have been better. That was my way of saying that, objectively speaking, I don't think it's quality is above that of Avatar. I said "could have been better" to imply that.

It has a chance to get close to it and surpass it later on rereleased in theaters. That what I am guessing is the most likely scenario, it could also just blow last expectation once again and surpass avatar.

The problem is the fact that movies like detective pikachu, and godzilla might prevent it from passing Avatar. As people only have so much money and time to spend and might watch detective pikachu instead of rewatching Endgame.

@jgames: Don't forget John Wick and Aladdin, those films will also get big shares this month.

Its on track to beat it right now but it should be close. I'd give it a 60% chance.

Somewhat greater than 50%.

Y do people bring up inflation adjusted? Duh no movie could ever possibly pass Gone with the Wind. It played for years in theaters and there were a lot less movies and entertainment options back then. It’s much more impressive when movies make big money in the modern era because u can watch movies at home.

That's true. But it clearly does have an affect and should be taken into consideration. A less percentage of people go to the theaters today, but there is also a larger population today. That kind of evens out. Gone with the Wind did have the advantage of being in the theater longer however. But for more recent movies like Avatar, ticket pricing is an advantage that newer movies have.

I'd be surprised if it didn't.

@boc: Avatar is the most impressive. Gone with the wind has had several rereleases it’s not impressive. The less people argument doesn’t matter. Those same people would have to go back to the theater again if they wanted to see their favorite film. Home video didn’t become common until what the 70s or even 80s?

This movie was released in 39. Any movie released in a post blockbuster era means that the person seeing the film knows they can eventually just watch it again at home.

@mickey-mouse: Fair enough.

Less than 500M to go .

A lot

300M more to go .

It will

I doubt it

I think what'll really seal the deal is next weekend. If it does beat Avatar, it will be by next Monday. If it doesn't, then Aladdin and Godzilla will stop it just short.

Looking at probably 130 dom/170 os to go. Seems plenty doable. John Wick 3 being R-rated shouldn't affect it too bad next weekend. Gonna be close. We'll see!

The good news is if it appears to be short by 5-10 million in the final weeks, then it's beating Avatar for sure. Disney gonna pull out all the tricks to get it over the hump.

12%

not a question of 'if' it's a question of 'when'

Avengers Endgame only grossed US$290+ million globally for the entire 3rd week. That was a very sharp drop from the 2nd week's US$900+ million... This drop is even sharper than my conservative estimate for the 3rd week. Not good!

I still think it can outgross Avatar, but barely by a few to tens of millions if it does.

Whether it does will depend on the 4th week performance. If it drops tremendously again, outgrossing Avatar will be unlikely.

It’s projected to pass it today

Lmfao people still doubting it.

It's only been out for a bit more than 2 weeks. I'd say it has a pretty high chance.

97.32%

You mean US Box Office? Yeah. But I believe the poll was talking about International box office. This is still in question given the massive drop in the third week although the chances are still good.

60%

Came so close .

@trololololol: don’t you mean, “it is so close”?

Why did Pokémon Detective Pikachu not make 100M or 200M at the Box Office?.

@hyperfinn: It made 400M WW, that's not bad. Idk why people were talking about making a billion like it was that easy

Well I ment millions super fast first within a few days than reach its way into the billions quickly within a few months.

How many more weeks is endgame in theaters?

100%

@staticdwanyemcduffie: for a point of reference, Infinity War (and most Avengers movies from what I remember) stay in theatres from April/May till around September

It seems to be back and forth after each weekend seeming like it could to definitely not, no way, no how to now.. a measly 7 million awy with still a couple more international re-expansions to come!

My non professional assessment at this point would say.. Mr. Cameron better start thinking about preparing another congratulatory poster to Mr. Feige just to be safe. Lol.

Looks like it’s gonna make it...

@mickey-mouse: @m2k: I thought the releases were over and it only did in America? Is it still expanding? If so maybe it will make it

@saberscar223: I guess he means the “rerelease” that’s technically not a rerelease cause I’m pretty sure it was released everywhere. It only needs about 8million to make it. So looks that is most likely gonna happen. Even if they release it again during Christmas.

@mickey-mouse: yeah but it’s only making like 3 million a week now including weekends and lion king comes out next weekend and I know a lot of theaters that are taking it out.

If they did China and India it could have beaten it

@saberscar223: Uh, first, yes it’s still rereleasing in some countries, it was a staggered release. Second, it’s really not that hard for it to gather another 7.2 million, it’s typical for Marvel team up films to be in theatres from April/May to September or so. Here’s a frame of reference, it could stay in for as long as Infinity War did, and so long as it makes around 119k or so a day, it’d still surpass that record. It should surpass it faster though, since it’s holds have actually been pretty good for the past couple days (basically, it should surpass it in around 2-4 weeks)

It’s like, it’s already likely it has around 4-5 million left to squeeze out domestically, and that’d only leave around 3 million or so really NEEDED from OS

It's really hard to earn 7-8 million , especially if people have watched the movie several times already , and all the re-released version provides is a few scenes not worth going to the cinema for .

This will be interesting to watch

@mike_fowler: Dang then there is still Hope I Desperately want it to beat that Average movie.

@saberscar223: guess as a bit of an update, the actuals came in, and it’s actually 6.8 million away from toppling the record