Poll Do you think Disney employed any underhanded tactics to ensure positive reviews for each Marvel Cinematic Universe film? (49 votes)
Think about it. There are 22 MCU movies at this point in time (May 2019).
Is it plausible for all 22 movies in a franchise to be each graded positively by the majority of professional movie critics?
Probability Model
Let's take Rotten Tomatoes for example. Even if we used a probability value of 0.8 (Very optimistic) that a relatively high budget, professionally-made movie gets overall positive reviews from Rotten Tomatoes, this means the probability of MCU movies getting overall positive reviews is 0.8 ^ 22 which is roughly equal to 0.0075. Which I believe is roughly equivalent to odds of 1 to 133, meaning that out of 133 franchises with a maximum of 22 movies each, only 1 franchise can achieve such ratings.
Note: This simple probability model assumes that all directors, writers and actors hired are of roughly equal competence between each movie.
I am not saying that its a conspiracy nor do I believe its one, but I thought this question should be out in the open so people can decide for themselves.
What do you think? Is this way of calculating the probability wrong? Or you have something alternative to talk about/propose? Discuss
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