I know this is old but I'm replying anyways. Thralls elemental magic has a good advantage over Malf's nature magic. Thralls could create earthen barriers and walls to limit Malfurions mobility in his travel forms and can manipulate air to mess with Malfurions flight form. Also, alot of (if not all) of a druids forms revolve around either trees or fur, and what are they? Flammable. What can Thrall control? Fire. However, Malfurions has a MASSIVE experience advantage and has killed opponents more powerful than Thrall, like Archimonde and Deathwing (who Thrall could only beat with the power of the other dragons). Malfurions also got a sizeable speed advantage with his animal forms like deer, bird and cat. Also, Malfurions has the advantage of control, he can command nature of he wishes, while Thrall has to ask for their aid, and if they decide to be stingy like they did back in Legion and through BFA, then he's just a sub par warrior.
Alot of this fight would depend on location (I know it's in Stormwind harbor but I'll get to that after), if their fighting in a place of nature like ValSharah then Malfurions has probably secured a victory, if their fighting in a place with alot of elements around them like Deepholm or the Firelands then Thrall wins. Seeing as their in Stormwind Harbor then I say Thrall wins, he has access to large quantities of 3 of his 4 elements, earth (the ground), air (the sky) and water (the sea) while Malfurions is pretty far away from a good source of nature (closest one I can think of is Duskwood.) In Stormwind I give it to Thrall 7/10 (assuming they are alone cus if not then the entire alliance population rallies behind Malfurions and Malf wins 11/10)
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