Muzan should win this with high difficulty. Yes if he gdts hit by overhaul, he's gonna splatter but that's not a worry to someone who can near instantly regenrate.
I'd say Muzan can use his AOE on Overhaul to halt him for a moment before either tearing his head off or simply injecting his demon blood into him and making him crumble.
@revold: true, It does depend when the sun is gonna come up, because if it's like 10:00 pm or midnight, Muzan has all the time at night to take out overhaul.
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