Thinking more about this, Piccolo didn't seem to be a match for Ultimate Gohan (power wise) at all. The only reason he got the better of him during that little skirmish was due to Gohan getting careless and letting his guard down - a trait Piccolo suspects Gohan must have picked up from his father.
As much as I disapprove of labeling #17 a God tier character based on his brief exchange with SSJB Goku, that's really the only fight we can go by at the moment if we want to get a slight understanding of #17's growth since the Cell arc.
Even if you disregard the idea of him being on par with SSJB completely, he definitely overpowered SSJ Goku, who, by feats, is superior to current Piccolo at the moment, all while holding back substantially.
#17 isn't the type of fighter who carelessly lets his guard down like Gohan or Goku, and his advantage in power, along with unlimited energy and stamina, should be more than enough to guarantee his victory in round 1 at the very least. The best Piccolo can hope for in round 2 is a ring out, or possibly a surprise attack, so depending on whether his strategical thinking comes into play, it can go either way.
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