Hard to say. Misasa is lacking the speed feats, but if he lands his hits he could put Medel down. It's basically playing hit & run for Carlos, if he let's Misasa get him off-balance with a hit he is screwed
Misasa is much higher up in the general verse Than Carlos but Carlos should probably counter Misasa who works best in smaller spaces against bigger fighters.
Carlos is even smaller than Misasa and uses all the space of an arena, i think Carlos takes it just based on compatibility, though we still haven't got close to seeing all Misasa can do so maybe he has something he can do against small fast guuys