This has two answers I will give for all five rounds.
The first answer is taking into account the time period this thread might have been made, which is around 2016-2017.
Taking the feats of the characters up to that era:
Round One: Cable vs Team 1
Let’s note that Savior Cable as he was portrayed was able to ionized the planet in telepathic energy so much so that Emma Frost on Cerebra struggled to shield a conversation between the X-Men. This is on a casual level because he was only listening in on everyone’s thoughts, not trying to lool for the X-Men, let alone break the psi-shielding. She is notoriously one of the most powerful telepaths on the planet, on Jean’s and Xavier‘s tier of power and skill, yet her being amped by Cerebra was barely enough to block Cable’s casual range.
At this point, Jean would still be dead with less powerful feats than current (with the latest of feats she would have access to would be New X-Men vol 1 and before that, plus whatever okay-ish feats Teen Jean had), Moondragon would not have met her alt self, the Top is unimpressive, and Martian Manhunter is about the same as he usually is.
Savior Cable would win under these conditions. Not enough raw power from the team to make the difference in skill.
Round Two: Cable vs Team 2
At this point, Xavier is dead but incredibly relevant (though he has more feats than Jean, living up to about AvX), Overmind is the most relevant next to Xavier (and pretty amazing honestly), Psycho Pirate is as useless as the top (despite being more powerful as an empath), and Thanos is overrated as far psionics and psi-defense goes.
Savior Cable actually goes 50-50 here based on Overmind and Xavier’s combo, plus Thanos willpower. Psycho Pirate won’t last unless he follows Xavier’s or Overmind’s lead. If either Xavier or Overmind go down, they lost. But if they hold out, then I can see a scenario where they win.
Round Three: X-Man vs Team 1
Shaman X-Man is pretty overrated as a psi, but that doesn’t mean he ain’t powerful. Back then, people thought he was multiversal, but he wasn’t. He still scales up to Pre-Shaman’s powers and skills without the burn out caveat.
Under these conditions, the team actually has a chance at winning if they follow Jean’s or Martian Manhunter’s leads in psychic battle. Moondragon is fierce, but way too overconfident to be reliable. And Top is still irrelevant unless he sticks by the team’s plan. Jean’s defense measures with the combined raw might of Moondragon, Jean, and J’onn might give them the win if they can plan a way to infiltrate Nate’s mind. Otherwise, Nate strong arms them into a victory.
Round Four: X-Man vs Team 2
Shaman Nate loses. Xavier alone could solo. While the Overmind could probably match in raw power, it is debatable whether either have the skill to overcome the other. Psycho Pirate needs the team. Thanos is not contributing much either beyond sheer will, which is still important in battles like these.
Overall, the team takes this with low difficulty if they follow Xavier’s lead.
Round Five: Both of them vs both teams
The fodder telepaths (Psycho and Top) are taken out. After that, it’s a massive psychic battle. A lot of casualties on both sides.
I see the Nate’s winning more times than not (especially if Shaman Nate follows Cable’s lead), but there might be a scenario or two where the big team wins.
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The second answer is taking into the current era into account.
Round One: Cable vs Team One
Unlike the first answer, Jean and Moondragon have since that time gotten major buffs. Jean has been exploring her Omega potential more, which has gotten her infiltrate the mind of Knull when other telepaths couldn’t handle the darkness and swat Nightmare like it’s nothing as he terrorizes New York. Moondragon merged with an alt version of herself, allowing her to infiltrate the minds of skyfather level beings with strain and adds more power to her telepathy as it is, despite her already having the power to affect an entire planet with difficulty.
With this in mind, with the power of Jean, Moondragon, and Martian Manhunter, they last a hell of a lot longer than they did before. I think it’s still a win in Savior Cable, but it is a lot closer than before. If they had prep, they might’ve pulled a win.
Round Two: Cable vs Team Two
Not much change. Xavier gets some more solid feats to keep him consistent with his previous power levels before he died in AvX. So the bout remains the same here.
Round Three: X-Man vs Team One
Again, Jean’s and Moondragon’s buff is so much more major that it’s a much more clear win for Team One. Shaman Nate‘s skill is above the basics, but still not on Jean’s or Moondragon’s level of skill. I’d argue Jean solos and Moondragon 50-50’s depending on whether you scale Hermes to Shaman Nate or if you still rank Shaman Nate as higher.
Team wins with low difficulty.
Round Four: X-Man vs Team Two
Second verse. Same as the first.
Round Five: Both of them vs Both Teams
I actually see potential four the team to actually win.
Current Jean Grey, Xavier, Overmind, Merged-Moondragon, Thanos, and Martian Manhunter all there?
Xavier defeated Dark Phoenix with just early Marvel Girl levels Jean Grey helping. Current Jean Grey fought Lifeseed Nate Grey (a much more powerful version than Shaman) with six telepaths less powerful than the ones I mentioned (barring Thanos who is just their for extra willpower support). Merged-Moondragon has the combination of two Moondragon’s. And Overmind has attacked the Stranger, a cosmic entity about as powerful as Galactus, successfully with his telepathic powers.
These odds should garner them more of a chance of winning if they take Nate Grey out before Savior Cable. If not, then they lose.
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