If Mags can control Mjolnir, he can solo in time (if Thor requires Mjolnir to fly, that is. Which if I remember Avengers, he did. Unless someone can remember a time in Thor or Thor 2 in which he didn't).
But if those two ifs give Mags the advantage (no flight without Mjolnir and Mags can control Mjolnir), X-Men win.
Caps will be shield-less. Widow will be gunless. Iron Man made into a soda can. Hawkeye isn't here, but arrowless.
That leaves 3 weapon-less Avengers against Wolverine, Mystique and Colossus. A well time bolt from Storm and then can be put down with ease.
That leaves 6 X-Men vs Hulk and Thor.
Take away Mjolnir (if possible), and you have a grounded Thor (which doesn't do much to Iceman, Storm and Magneto).
Hulk one shots Logan, Mystique and Colossus, but now you have two grounded bricks (Thor and Hulk) against 3 flying threats. Lightning probably won't do much to Thor, but I'm sure at the very least, it'll annoy Hulk. Add in some tornados to keep him off his feet, and they can keep him busy long enough for Iceman to freeze Thor and Magneto to throw Mjolnir at him full speed.
They can attempt the same on Hulk too. And even if that doesn't kill them (like a Sub Zero fatality in MK), they can keep their distance and keep hitting Thor and Hulk with Mjolnir until they're KO'd.
Now, IF Thor's control to Mjolnir is stronger than Magneto's, Thor solos. With flight, Thor will keep up with Bobby and one shot him. Storm too. Mags didn't have a forcefield in the movies (unless he did in First Class), so he gets one shotted too.
So in conclusion:
With Mjolnir/Flight, Avengers win.
With Magneto controlling Mjolnir/ No flight, X-Men win or stalemate.
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